UFO IN TURCHIA, ENIGMA RISOLTO

UFOnet: UFO's over Turkey
Date:
Sat, 14 Dec 2002 17:02:48 +0100
From:
Frits Westra <
fwestra@hetnet.nl>
Reply-To:
ufonet@yahoogroups.com
To:
<
UFOnet@yahoogroups.com>




Hello Aerielle,

As said by John (Satcom), the Turkey sightings on Nov 1 were caused by the
re-entry of a Russian rocket stage.

Below is Harro Zimmer's analysis of the event. Mr Zimmer is well known for
his satellite decay analyses and predictions.

Posted with permission from Mr Zimmer.

Regards,
Frits

Forwarded by:
fwestra@hetnet.nl (Frits Westra)
Originally from:
SeeSat-D-request@satobs.org
Original Subject: SeeSat-D Digest V2002 #211
Original Date: Thu, 14 Nov 2002 22:19:15 -0500

========================== Forwarded message begins ======================


Date: 14 Nov 2002 16:18 GMT
From:
Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de (Harro Zimmer)
To: <
SeeSat-L@satobs.org>
Subject: Re: Hugh UFO over Turkey

As I mentioned yesterday (UTC) this spectacular event over Turkey witnessed
by
six commercial aircraft on 01 November, around
03:30-03:45 UTC was without any doubt the decay of 2002-050B
(#27553)the 3. stage of the SOYUZ rocket that launched a 3 men
crew to the ISS on 30.October, 03:11 UTC.
The empty rocket body has a mass of 2350 kg, 2.7 m diameter
and a length of 6.7 m.
The source from Turkey (SIRIUS UFO -
info@siriusufo.org )
mentioned 3 locations:
AFYON (Lat: 38.45N, 30.40E)
YALOVA (Lat: 40.39N, 29.15E)
ANTALYA (Lat: 36.53N, 30.42E)

For my in depth analysis I used the final ELSET 02305.02466301
(aka 01 November, 03:35.30.88 UTC) and the current solar and
geomagnetic data. With my program MPM + REENTRY I have recon-
structed the reentry trajectory.
The visibility of the event from the Antalya airport sets a
lower limit for the altitude of the decayer. All observations
are at a time span shortly after the breakup altitude (78 km).

With some uncertainty my analysis delivers for the nearest
points:

Antalya: 03:42:46 UTC AZ 311.0 - 331.7 EL: 11.9 - 20.8
Satellite Height: 78.4 km
AFYON: 03:42:54 UTC AZ 317.1 - 332.6 EL: 24.7 - 39.1
Satellite Height: 75.4 km
YALOVA: 03:43:06 UTC AZ 130.2 - 141.9 EL: 41.6 - 61.9
Satellite Height: 72.1 km
SCC'S Final prediction: 01 Nov,03:41 UTC (28.0N, 26.0E)
delivers within this analytical frame:
03:42:06 UTC AZ 156.3 - 139.7 EL: 59.3 - 73.9
The reports mentioned about 10 - 15 observed fragments.

A message from the source told me they are "quite certain"
that the event was produced by the entry of a "hugh asteroid".
For some reasons that are complete nonsense.

Harro

Harro.Zimmer@t-online.de
Berlin, Germany

========================== Forwarded message ends ========================

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